7 Ergebnisse.

This book analyzes the process of evaluating Iran's nuclear project and the efforts to roll it back, resulting in the 2015 nuclear agreement known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPA). Despite its aura of scientific exactitude, nuclear intelligence is complex and susceptible to methodological disagreements and political bias at the international oversight level--the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)--and within the countrie...

One of the great intelligence failures of the 20th century was indicated by the surprise with which the US greeted the collapse of the Soviet Union. This book evaluates the attitudes of the intelligence and political communities in the US and how these contributed to a mistaken view of the rival superpower.

Keine Beschreibung.

Washington's failure to foresee the collapse of its superpower rival ranks high in the pantheon of predictive failures. The question of who got it right or wrong has been intertwined with the deeper issue of who "won" the Cold War. Like the disputes over who "lost" China and Iran, this debate has been fought out along ideological and partisan lines, with conservatives claiming credit for the Evil Empire's demise and liberals arguing that the c...

The relationship between Israel, American Jews, and the peace process has been a subject of debate among scholars, political activists, and lay observers alike. This is an attempt to chart the impact of the peace process on the American Jewish community and its relationship with Israel.

With the Iranian revolution as her focal point, Seliktar offers a systematic analysis of predictive failure in foreign policy at the paradigmatic, policy, and intelligence levels. Seliktar first examines how social science paradigms determine conceptualizations of political change, and then applies that analysis to understanding New Internationalism, the Carter administration's foreign policy philosophy at the time of the Shah's fall from powe...

This ground-breaking book examines how and why the much-vaunted Oslo Peace Accords between the Israelis and Palestinians collapsed.