Relating Initial Budget to Program Growth with Rayleigh a...
Unger, Eric J.![Relating Initial Budget to Program Growth with Rayleigh and Weibull Models](https://support.digitalhusky.com/media/annotations/sorted/161/16160386/CHSBZCOP0316160386.jpg)
Previous research on completed defense RD shows that contract expenditures can be fit well with a Rayleigh model. With fixed outlay rates, as prescribed by the OSD comptroller, the budget profile must have most of the funds in the early years to produce Rayleigh-distributed expenditures. RD programs with more delayed funding profiles may also produce expenditures that a Rayleigh model fits through schedule slips and cost overruns. This researc...